When will there be a steady supply of Tundras?

What's going on everybody. Anyone have any thoughts or ideas as to when Tundras will begin to surface in supply without waiting months to get one? I'm hoping 2023 will be a little better. I got a 22 DC and would like to trade it for a crewmax.

 

I dont see it happening anytime soon. Its not just a toyota thing, there are few new cars available period. Add in some of the issues and QC holds and fixes for the 2022 Tundra and supply will be low. They issued a recall and QC hold just this week for the rears/differential which is new. It is a new world and the materials/parts availability issues is impacting auto, boat and RV manufactures heavily.

 

The more rural Toyota dealer where I got mine, and the city Subaru dealership...both look like they're closing, there are just NO new vehicles on the lots!

 

I feel the days of large inventory sitting around dealers lots are a thing of the past. Keep inventory low and interest high….

 

Where do you see that recall? I'm guessing that's why mine hasn't moved.

 

This time next year the economy will be in its 5th or 6th consecutive quarter of recession. There will be more people unemployed, and a lot vehicles being taken back by the bank.

Interest rates will be considerably higher to combat inflation, so a lot of buyers will be priced out of the new vehicle market (among others).

So demand should slow down, and supply should catch up. Then dealers and manufacturers will have to remember how to make car deals like it’s 2009 again.

 

I’ve been waiting since March for a 1794 after a $500 deposit. There was a Toyota salesman from Oregon (?) who recently posted on YouTube that out of 50 allocations for 2022 Tundras he only had two 1794’s and to make matters worse, Toyota can’t get enough rear doors from the suppliers for Tacoma’s so he’s not getting any Tacoma double cabs, only access cabs. My salesman says I’m next in line but I really don’t expect a new truck until around September or October. And that might be a 2023.

 

A salesman at a dealership here in Jacksonville told me it’ll be like this for about 3 or 4 more years.

 

Ha! To prevent you from waiting to buy when the market is more in your favor.

Source: I’m a cynic.

 

I really, really doubt that. But hey, I don’t have a crystal ball.
I doubt things will be this way for much longer.
With the gas, inflation, etc being what it is I would suspect vehicle buying will slow down tremendously here very soon and supply will catch up.

 

You might be right. I have a deposit down. Waiting. Moving up from Tacoma. I am in no rush.

 

By august 14th

 

Liking my 4runner more and more daily. I had my dealer remove the deposit I had on a 2022 tundra, decided to hold steady with the 4R for awhile.

 

Maybe not a full recall then? or only particular builds/trucks with issue being notified? Certainly could be a reason for some QC holds but who knows.

This OP was notified by the toyota app https://www.tundras.com/threads/recall-notice.108982/#post-2811240 and I had already heard about issue with some trucks in the past month or two. This problem was the one where the person had the axle and wheel slide out of the housing, pics somewhere here on the site. Here is a vid I found of the axle/nut issue some had https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iQKRYB9vdw0

 

2024

 

Agree with this assessment. That’s just the fed slowing the overheated demand for goods, including new cars. Working somewhat as intended.

the salesperson telling you it will continue is feeding you a self interest line of bs. He wants you to believe that and pay an inflated price, today.

 

good plan, love my 22 4R. And… it will hold its value if you change your mind down the road.

 

Most sales guys and gals in the business today probably haven’t been in the game long enough to remember the 2007-2011 period of time. A lot of them might not have even been adults, think about it: a 15 year old in 2008 when shit really hit the fan is 29 years old now. They’re a full fledged adult who didn’t really experience the full impact of the last big recession.

All they’ve known their adult lives has been a bull market. Stocks going up, housing values going up, basically idiot proof investing for those with the means to invest.

So lacking that life experience, and most not being students of history; they don’t recognize the signs of the giant hand of economic hard times about to bitch slap them right in the face.

 

If i were to bet, it will take years to get inventory back. The backlog is so bad semi conductor plants aren’t catching up soon, 2 looming concerns are availability of raw materials, and lets be honest the saftey of Taiwan. If taiwan were to get rolled, that 10 month wait for a truck will become years

 

In the near term, yes, but all these disruptions create an opportunity and business case for domestic chip production. It will spur domestic investment and create more supply. It doesn’t need to take 5 years.

tesla adjusted by simply reprogramming chips meant for other uses to do the functions of the constrained supply of chips, so there’s room for creative and quick turnaround solutions, too.

 

You are right. It's unknown but with the gas at present, there are some people choose to sit on their cash.

 

Local Toyota dealer said 2024 to return to some sort of normalcy to the market, and we weren't looking at a Toyota....browsing an Explorer, but not enough room for the family.

 

I cannot help but think it will be this way for a while. Because, if people are willing to pay more for vehicle to stop someone else from getting it. That is a win win for dealer. They will probably try it for couple years to see if their numbers look same or better without holding a lot of inventory.

 

A few months after the recession officially starts and people of lesser means are finally sufficiently broken by fuel prices to start making the lifestyle changes they thought they could push off betting on a quick turn around, lot inventory for all makes will begin to improve.

 

New truck prices will still be high, trade in values will go back to the old way and be terrible. Double whammy

 

I have a feeling it'll be two years before things feel "normal" again. On the other hand, I doubt we'll ever really know what that means again. I think we're in a turning point. Nothing really to back it up except my gut and a somewhat beyond basic grasp of economics.

One thing I have been thinking about lately is that this issue has been exacerbated by the tiers of people selling cars, ie: manufacturer, distributor, dealer. In my case, my truck was built two months ago and I still don't have it. Dealer is blaming distributor, and I'm sure distributor is blaming manufacturer for QC holds, but the trucks been built for almost two months (4/29). They could sell vehicles cheaper, more efficiently, and make money on new service centers.

 

Article in business news Toy is cutting more production due to supply issues mainly chips

 

What time??